Lãnh Thổ Lãnh Hải Việt-Nam: 20251122 CDTL Bản Ghi Nhớ Từ Stearman Gửi Kissinger Washington 15 October 1974 D149

20251122 CDTL Bản Ghi Nhớ Từ Stearman Gửi Kissinger Washington 15 October 1974 D149

149. Memorandum From William Stearman of the National Security Council Staff to Secretary of State Kissinger1

Washington, October 15, 1974.

https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1969-76v10/d149

149. Memorandum From William Stearman of the National Security Council Staff to Secretary of State Kissinger1

Washington, October 15, 1974.

SUBJECT

Joint Chiefs of Staff Assessment on Cambodia

Attached at Tab A is an assessment on Cambodia completed by the Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS) on August 28, 1974.2

The assessment, which covers the period from the present through the end of FY 75, concludes inter alia that:

—A military stalemate has been achieved with neither side capable of defeating the other.
—The Communists have greater tactical mobility and motivation, but this is offset by FANK firepower.
—Lon Nol is the only leader capable of exerting the necessary leadership on the Phnom Penh side.
—U.S. economic and military aid is essential to survival.

The assessment sees the U.S. as having three policy options vis-à-vis Cambodia: (1) increase our aid; (2) gradually decrease assistance; and (3) maintain assistance at proposed levels.

The JCS recommends that the United States Government continue to provide support at levels requested for FY 75, while simultaneously undertaking an intensive diplomatic campaign to effect a cease-fire and a negotiated settlement.

We concur in the basic conclusions and recommendations of the JCS assessment, though we are skeptical whether an intense diplomatic effort to start negotiations would bear fruit until the other side becomes convinced it cannot break the present military stalemate.

Google Translated

149. Bản ghi nhớ của William Stearman thuộc Hội đồng An ninh Quốc gia gửi Ngoại trưởng Kissinger

Washington, ngày 15 tháng 10 năm 1974.

CHỦ ĐỀ

Đánh giá của Hội đồng Tham mưu trưởng Liên quân về Campuchia

Đính kèm tại Bảng A là bản đánh giá về Campuchia do Hội đồng Tham mưu trưởng Liên quân (JCS) hoàn thành vào ngày 28 tháng 8 năm 1974.

Bản đánh giá, bao gồm giai đoạn từ hiện tại đến cuối năm tài chính 75, kết luận rằng:

—Một thế bế tắc quân sự đã xảy ra mà không bên nào có khả năng đánh bại bên kia.

—Phe Cộng sản có khả năng cơ động và động lực chiến thuật lớn hơn, nhưng điều này bị bù đắp bởi hỏa lực của FANK.

—Lon Nol là nhà lãnh đạo duy nhất có khả năng thể hiện sự lãnh đạo cần thiết ở phía Phnom Penh.

—Viện trợ kinh tế và quân sự của Hoa Kỳ là điều cần thiết để tồn tại.

Bản đánh giá cho thấy Hoa Kỳ có ba lựa chọn chính sách đối với Campuchia: (1) tăng viện trợ; (2) giảm dần viện trợ; và (3) duy trì viện trợ ở mức đề nghị.

Hội đồng Tham mưu trưởng Liên quân khuyến nghị Chính phủ Hoa Kỳ tiếp tục cung cấp hỗ trợ ở mức yêu cầu cho năm tài chính 75, đồng thời tiến hành một chiến dịch ngoại giao mạnh mẽ để đạt được lệnh ngừng bắn và một giải pháp đàm phán.

Chúng tôi đồng tình với những kết luận và khuyến nghị cơ bản của bản đánh giá của Hội đồng Tham mưu trưởng Liên quân, mặc dù chúng tôi hoài nghi liệu một nỗ lực ngoại giao mạnh mẽ để bắt đầu đàm phán có thể mang lại kết quả hay không cho đến khi bên kia tin rằng họ không thể phá vỡ thế bế tắc quân sự hiện tại.

https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1969-76v10/d149

Thân thế (các) nhân vật/

Ford Gerald R.,

Republican Representative from Michigan until October 13, 1973; House Minority Leader until October 13, 1973; Vice President of the United States from October 13, 1973, until August 8, 1974; President of the United States from August 8, 1974

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gerald_Ford

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/President_of_the_United_States

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vice_President_of_the_United_States

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/House_Minority_Leader

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leader_of_the_House_Republican_Conference

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chair_of_the_House_Republican_Conference

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives

https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/presidents/gerald-r-ford/

https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/

https://geraldrfordfoundation.org/gerald-r-ford-biography/

https://www.fordlibrarymuseum.gov/grf/timeline.asp

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Presidency_of_Gerald_Ford

https://www.history.navy.mil/research/library/research-guides/modern-biographical-files-ndl/modern-bios-f/ford-gerald.html

https://www.fordlibrarymuseum.gov/library/guides/findingaid/ford_vp_papers.asp

Henry A Kissinger

Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs until November 3, 1975; also Secretary of State from September 21, 1973

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/may/20/bilderberg-meeting-group-lisbon-kissinger

https://www.theguardian.com/world/bilderberg

https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1969-76ve13/summary

https://china.usc.edu/getting-beijing-henry-kissingers-secret-1971-trip

https://china.usc.edu/sites/default/files/styles/article_node_featured/public/article/featured-image/kissinger-zhou-sm_0.jpg?itok=qDjPx2_m

https://china.usc.edu/catalog/documents/us-china

http://www.archives.gov/press/press-releases/2001/nr01-47.html

https://china.usc.edu/talking-points-july-22-august-3-2011

https://china.usc.edu/getting-beijing-henry-kissingers-secret-1971-trip#meetings

https://china.usc.edu/getting-beijing-henry-kissingers-secret-1971-trip#nixon-announcement

https://china.usc.edu/getting-beijing-henry-kissingers-secret-1971-trip#chinese-accept

https://china.usc.edu/getting-beijing-henry-kissingers-secret-1971-trip#signals

https://china.usc.edu/getting-beijing-henry-kissingers-secret-1971-trip#the_aim

http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/23927/richard-m-nixon/asia-after-viet-nam

https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1969-76v17/d4

https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1969-76v17/d12

https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1969-76v17/d13

https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1969-76v17/d141

https://2001-2009.state.gov/documents/organization/100324.pdf

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Kissinger_and_the_Vietnam_War

Lesson in Vietnam from Kissinger to Nixon: “when we made it “our war” we would not let the South Vietnamese fight it; when it again became “their war”, we would not help them fight it.”

(We also had trouble with excesses here: when we made it “our war” we would not let the South Vietnamese fight it; when it again became “their war,” we would not help them fight it. Ironically, we prepared the South Vietnamese for main force warfare after 1954 (anticipating another Korean-type attack), and they faced a political war; they had prepared themselves for political warfare after 1973 only to be faced with a main force invasion 20 years after it had been expected.)

https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1969-76v10/d280

Lesson of Vietnam May 12 1975 by Henry A. Kissinger

https://www.fordlibrarymuseum.gov/library/exhibits/vietnam/032400091-002.pdf

https://thebattleofkontum.com/extras/kissinger.html

“Richard M. Nixon and Kissinger on 3 August 1972,” Conversation 760-006, Presidential Recordings Digital Edition [Fatal Politics, ed. Ken Huges] (Charlottesville: University of Virginia Press, 2014-). URL:https://prde.upress.virginia.edu/conversations/4006748

https://player.vimeo.com/video/889937807?h=e44572c8f3&color=e57200&title=0&byline=0&portrait=0

https://millercenter.org/the-presidency/educational-resources/nixon-kissinger-and-the-decent-interval

https://player.vimeo.com/video/889937807?h=e44572c8f3&color=e57200&title=0&byline=0&portrait=0

Discover the Truth at:

http://www.theblackvault.com

https://www.theblackvault.com/documentarchive/the-cias-vietnam-document-cd-rom/

Lon Nol,

General, Cambodian Prime Minister and Minister of National Defense, June 1969; led coup that deposed Prince Norodom Sihanouk in March 1970; Prime Minister and Minister of National Defense after March 18, 1970; President of Khmer Republic from 1972 until 1975

Smyser, W. Richard,

member, National Security Council Operations staff/East Asia from 1973 until 1975

https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1969-76v06/d330

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/obituaries/wr-smyser-us-diplomat-turned-historian-of-postwar-germany-dies-at-86/2018/04/22/9d63bf0c-43f6-11e8-8569-26fda6b404c7_story.html

https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/90119/download

Stearman, William L.,

member, National Security Council staff

http://williamlstearman67.com/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_L._Stearman

https://prabook.com/web/william_lloyd.stearman/595382

https://www.legion.org/magazine/233034/vietnam-war-reconsidered

https://adst.org/OH%20TOCs/Stearman,%20William%20Lloyd.toc.pdf